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This book demonstrates that population structure and dynamics can
be reconstructed by stochastic analysis. Population projection is
usually based on age-structured population models. These models
consist of age-dependent fertility and mortality, whereas birth and
death processes generally arise from states of individuals. For
example, a number of seeds are proportional to tree size, and
amount of income and savings are the basis of decision making for
birth behavior in human beings. Thus, even though individuals
belong to an identical cohort, they have different fertility and
mortality. To treat this kind of individual heterogeneity,
stochastic state transitions are reasonable rather than the
deterministic states. This book extends deterministic systems to
stochastic systems specifically, constructing a state transition
model represented by stochastic differential equations. The
diffusion process generated by stochastic differential equations
provides statistics determining population dynamics, i.e.,
heterogeneity is incorporated in population dynamics as its
statistics. Applying this perspective to demography and
evolutionary biology, we can consider the role of heterogeneity in
life history or evolution. These concepts are provided to readers
with explanations of stochastic analysis.
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