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This book gives a unifying framework for estimating the abundance
of open populations: populations subject to births, deaths and
movement, given imperfect measurements or samples of the
populations. The focus is primarily on populations of vertebrates
for which dynamics are typically modelled within the framework of
an annual cycle, and for which stochastic variability in the
demographic processes is usually modest. Discrete-time models are
developed in which animals can be assigned to discrete states such
as age class, gender, maturity, population (within a
metapopulation), or species (for multi-species models). The book
goes well beyond estimation of abundance, allowing inference on
underlying population processes such as birth or recruitment,
survival and movement. This requires the formulation and fitting of
population dynamics models. The resulting fitted models yield both
estimates of abundance and estimates of parameters characterizing
the underlying processes.
This is the first book to provide an accessible comprehensive introduction to wildlife population assessment methods. It uses a new approach that makes the full range of methods accessible in a way that has not previously been possible. Traditionally, newcomers to the field have had to face the daunting prospect of grasping new concepts for almost every one of the many methods. In contrast, this book uses a single conceptual (and statistical) framework for all the methods. This makes understanding the apparently different methods easier because each can be seen to be a special case of the general framework. The approach provides a natural bridge between simple methods and recently developed methods. It also links closed population methods quite naturally with open population methods. The book is accompanied by free software on the web, in the form of an R library, allowing readers to get some "hands-on" experience with the methods and how they perform in different contexts - without the considerable effort and expense required to do this in the real world. It also provides a tool for teaching the methods, including a means for teachers to generate examples and exercises customised to the needs of their students. As the first truly up-to-date and introductory text in the field, this book should become a standard reference for students and professionals in the fields of statistics, biology and ecology.
This book gives a unifying framework for estimating the abundance
of open populations: populations subject to births, deaths and
movement, given imperfect measurements or samples of the
populations. The focus is primarily on populations of vertebrates
for which dynamics are typically modelled within the framework of
an annual cycle, and for which stochastic variability in the
demographic processes is usually modest. Discrete-time models are
developed in which animals can be assigned to discrete states such
as age class, gender, maturity, population (within a
metapopulation), or species (for multi-species models). The book
goes well beyond estimation of abundance, allowing inference on
underlying population processes such as birth or recruitment,
survival and movement. This requires the formulation and fitting of
population dynamics models. The resulting fitted models yield both
estimates of abundance and estimates of parameters characterizing
the underlying processes.
This advanced text focuses on the uses of distance sampling to
estimate the density and abundance of biological populations. It
addresses new methodologies, new technologies and recent
developments in statistical theory and is the follow up companion
to Introduction to Distance Sampling (OUP, 2001).
In this text, a general theoretical basis is established for
methods of estimating animal abundance from sightings surveys, and
a wide range of approaches to analysis of sightings data is
explored. These approaches include: modelling animal detectability
as a function of covariates, where the effects of habitat,
observer, weather, etc. on detectability can be assessed;
estimating animal density as a function of location, allowing for
example animal density to be related to habitat and other
locational covariates; estimating change over time in populations,
a necessary aspect of any monitoring program; estimation when
detection of animals on the line or at the point is uncertain, as
often occurs for marine populations, or when the survey region has
dense cover; survey design and automated design algorithms,
allowing rapid generation of sound survey designs using geographic
information systems; adaptive distance sampling methods, which
concentrate survey effort in areas of high animal density; passive
distance sampling methods, which extend the application of distance
sampling to species that cannot be readily detected in sightings
surveys, but can be trapped; and testing of methods by simulation,
so that performance of the approach in varying circumstances can be
assessed.
This advanced text focuses on the uses of distance sampling to
estimate the density and abundance of biological populations. It
addresses new methodologies, new technologies and recent
developments in statistical theory and is the follow up companion
to Introduction to Distance Sampling (OUP, 2001). In this text, a
general theoretical basis is established for methods of estimating
animal abundance from sightings surveys, and a wide range of
approaches to analysis of sightings data is explored. These
approaches include: modelling animal detectability as a function of
covariates, where the effects of habitat, observer, weather, etc.
on detectability can be assessed; estimating animal density as a
function of location, allowing for example animal density to be
related to habitat and other locational covariates; estimating
change over time in populations, a necessary aspect of any
monitoring programme; estimation when detection of animals on the
line or at the point is uncertain, as often occurs for marine
populations, or when the survey region has dense cover; survey
design and automated design algorithms, allowing rapid generation
of sound survey designs using geographic information systems;
adaptive distance sampling methods, which concentrate survey effort
in areas of high animal density; passive distance sampling methods,
which extend the application of distance sampling to species that
cannot be readily detected in sightings surveys, but can be
trapped; and testing of methods by simulation, so that performance
of the approach in varying circumstances can be assessed. Authored
by a leading team this text is aimed at professionals in government
and environment agencies, statisticians, biologists, wildlife
managers, conservation biologists and ecologists, as well as
graduate students, studying the density and abundance of biological
populations.
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