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Nearly half of all countries emerging from civil conflict relapse
into war within a few years of signing a peace agreement. The
postwar trajectories of armed groups vary from organizational
cohesion to dissolution, demilitarization to remilitarization. In
Organized Violence after Civil War, Daly analyzes evidence from
thirty-seven militia groups in Colombia, demonstrating that the
primary driving force behind these changes is the variation in
recruitment patterns within, and between, the warring groups. She
documents the transition from war to peace through interviews with
militia commanders, combatants and victims. Using rich ex-combatant
survey data and geo-coded information on violence over fifty years
of war, Daly explains the dynamics inside armed organizations and
the strategic interactions among them. She also shows how the
theory may be used beyond Colombia, both within the region of Latin
America and across the rest of the world.
Why populations brutalized in war elect their tormentors One of the
great puzzles of electoral politics is how parties that commit mass
atrocities in war often win the support of victimized populations
to establish the postwar political order. Violent Victors traces
how parties derived from violent, wartime belligerents successfully
campaign as the best providers of future societal peace, attracting
votes not just from their core supporters but oftentimes also from
the very people they targeted in war. Drawing on more than two
years of groundbreaking fieldwork, Sarah Daly combines case studies
of victim voters in Latin America with experimental survey evidence
and new data on postwar elections around the world. She argues
that, contrary to oft-cited fears, postconflict elections do not
necessarily give rise to renewed instability or political violence.
Daly demonstrates how war-scarred citizens reward belligerent
parties for promising peace and security instead of blaming them
for war. Yet, in so casting their ballots, voters sacrifice
justice, liberal democracy, and social welfare. Proposing
actionable interventions that can help to moderate these
trade-offs, Violent Victors links war outcomes with democratic
outcomes to shed essential new light on political life after war
and offers global perspectives on important questions about
electoral behavior in the wake of mass violence.
Nearly half of all countries emerging from civil conflict relapse
into war within a few years of signing a peace agreement. The
postwar trajectories of armed groups vary from organizational
cohesion to dissolution, demilitarization to remilitarization. In
Organized Violence after Civil War, Daly analyzes evidence from
thirty-seven militia groups in Colombia, demonstrating that the
primary driving force behind these changes is the variation in
recruitment patterns within, and between, the warring groups. She
documents the transition from war to peace through interviews with
militia commanders, combatants and victims. Using rich ex-combatant
survey data and geo-coded information on violence over fifty years
of war, Daly explains the dynamics inside armed organizations and
the strategic interactions among them. She also shows how the
theory may be used beyond Colombia, both within the region of Latin
America and across the rest of the world.
Why populations brutalized in war elect their tormentors One of the
great puzzles of electoral politics is how parties that commit mass
atrocities in war often win the support of victimized populations
to establish the postwar political order. Violent Victors traces
how parties derived from violent, wartime belligerents successfully
campaign as the best providers of future societal peace, attracting
votes not just from their core supporters but oftentimes also from
the very people they targeted in war. Drawing on more than two
years of groundbreaking fieldwork, Sarah Daly combines case studies
of victim voters in Latin America with experimental survey evidence
and new data on postwar elections around the world. She argues
that, contrary to oft-cited fears, postconflict elections do not
necessarily give rise to renewed instability or political violence.
Daly demonstrates how war-scarred citizens reward belligerent
parties for promising peace and security instead of blaming them
for war. Yet, in so casting their ballots, voters sacrifice
justice, liberal democracy, and social welfare. Proposing
actionable interventions that can help to moderate these
trade-offs, Violent Victors links war outcomes with democratic
outcomes to shed essential new light on political life after war
and offers global perspectives on important questions about
electoral behavior in the wake of mass violence.
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