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We implement the human capital CAPM (HCAPM) using the income growth
of high income households, rather than aggregate income growth, to
proxy the return to human capital (HCRT). We find that identifying
the HCRT with the income growth of affluent households, those who
are most likely to hold stocks, substantially improves the
performance of the HCAPM. Specifically, the pricing errors,
R-square's, average returns on factor mimicking portfolios, and
performance relative to other macro-finance models uniformly
improve as the HCRT is identified with the income growth of
successively more affluent households.
This paper reviews a variety of backtests that examine the adequacy
of Value-at-Risk (VaR) measures. These backtesting procedures are
reviewed from both a statistical and risk management perspective.
The properties of unconditional coverage and independence are
defined and their relation to backtesting procedures is discussed.
Backtests are then classified by whether they examine the
unconditional coverage property, independence property, or both
properties of a VaR measure. Backtests that examine the accuracy of
a VaR model at several quantiles, rather than a single quantile,
are also outlined and discussed. The statistical power properties
of these tests are examined in a simulation experiment. Finally,
backtests that are specified in terms of a pre-specified loss
function are reviewed and their use in VaR validation is discussed.
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Nadine Gordimer
Paperback
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R383
R310
Discovery Miles 3 100
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