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This book presents the results of a study of long-term perspectives
for energy development of the world and its main regions, performed
at the Siberian Energy Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences
(Energy Systems Institute since 1998). The methodological approach,
the 10-regional Global Energy Model (GEM-10R) of the world energy
system, energy demand forecasts, data on energy resources and
energy technologies, and results of calculations based on
mathematical models are described. Particular attention is given to
determination of energy requirements and peculiarities of its
technological structure that are caused by mankind's necessary
transition to sustainable development. Economic and ecological
consequences of constraints on greenhouse gas emissions and scales
of nuclear energy production, as well as assistance of developed
countries to developing ones are investigated. Problems of cheap
oil, gas and uranium resources depletion, fuel price growth,
synthetic fuel production and new energy technology implementation
are analysed.
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