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At its core, the goal of any basketball team is relatively simple:
take and make good shots while preventing the opponent from doing
the same. But what is a “good” shot? Are all good shots created
equally? And how might one identify players who are more or less
likely to make and prevent those shots in the first place? The
concept of basketball “analytics,” for lack of a better term,
has been lauded, derided, and misunderstood. The incorporation of
more data into NBA decision-making has been credited—or
blamed—for everything from the death of the traditional center to
the proliferation of three-point shooting to the alleged
abandonment of the area of the court known as the midrange. What is
beyond doubt is that understanding its methods has never been more
important to watching and appreciating the NBA. In The Midrange
Theory, Seth Partnow, NBA analyst for The Athletic and former
Director of Basketball Research for the Milwaukee Bucks, explains
how numbers have affected the modern NBA game, and how those
numbers seek not to “solve” the game of basketball but instead
urge us toward thinking about it in new ways. The relative value of
Russell Westbrook’s triple-doubles Why some players succeed in
the playoffs while others don’t How NBA teams think about
constructing their rosters through the draft and free agency The
difficulty in measuring defensive achievement The fallacy of the
“quick two” From shot selection to evaluating prospects to
considering aesthetics and ethics while analyzing the box scores,
Partnow deftly explores where the NBA is now, how it got here, and
where it might be going next.
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