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Tracking Truth presents a unified treatment of knowledge, evidence,
and epistemological realism and anti-realism about scientific
theories. A wide range of knowledge-related phenomena, especially
but not only in science, strongly favour the idea of tracking as
the key to what makes something knowledge. A subject who tracks the
truth--an idea first formulated by Robert Nozick--has the ability
to follow the truth through time and changing circumstances.
Epistemologists rightly concluded that Nozick's theory was not
viable, but a simple revision of that view is not only viable but
superior to other current views. In this new tracking account of
knowledge, in contrast to the old view, knowledge has the property
of closure under known implication, and troublesome counterfactuals
are replaced with well-defined conditional probability statements.
Of particular interest are the new view's treatment of skepticism,
reflective knowledge, lottery propositions, knowledge of logical
truth, and the question why knowledge is power in the Baconian
sense.
Ideally, evidence indicates a hypothesis and discriminates it from
other possible hypotheses. This is the idea behind a tracking view
of evidence, and Sherrilyn Roush provides a defence of a
confirmation theory based on the Likelihood Ratio. The accounts of
knowledge and evidence she offers provide a deep and seamless
explanation of why having better evidence makes one more likely to
have knowledge. Roush approaches the question of epistemological
realism about scientific theories through the question what is
required for evidence, and rejects both traditional realist and
traditional anti-realist positions in favor of a new position which
evaluatesrealist claims in a piecemeal fashion according to a
general standard of evidence. The results show that while
anti-realists were immodest in declaring a priori what science
could not do, realists were excessively sanguine about how far our
actual evidence has so far taken us.
Tracking Truth presents a unified treatment of knowledge, evidence,
and epistemological realism and anti-realism about scientific
theories. A wide range of knowledge-related phenomena, especially
but not only in science, strongly favour the idea of tracking as
the key to what makes something knowledge. A subject who tracks the
truth - an idea first formulated by Robert Nozick - has the ability
to follow the truth through time and changing circumstances.
Epistemologists rightly concluded that Nozick's theory was not
viable, but a simple revision of that view is not only viable but
superior to other current views. In this new tracking account of
knowledge, in contrast to the old view, knowledge has the property
of closure under known implication, and troublesome counterfactuals
are replaced with well-defined conditional probability statements.
Of particular interest are the new view's treatment of skepticism,
reflective knowledge, lottery propositions, knowledge of logical
truth, and the question why knowledge is power in the Baconian
sense. Ideally, evidence indicates a hypothesis and discriminates
it from other possible hypotheses. This is the idea behind a
tracking view of evidence, and Sherrilyn Roush provides a defence
of a confirmation theory based on the Likelihood Ratio. The
accounts of knowledge and evidence she offers provide a deep and
seamless explanation of why having better evidence makes one more
likely to have knowledge. Roush approaches the question of
epistemological realism about scientific theories through the
question what is required for evidence, and rejects both
traditional realist and traditional anti-realist positions in
favour of a new position which evaluates realist claims in a
piecemeal fashion according to a general standard of evidence. The
results show that while anti-realists were immodest in declaring a
priori what science could not do, realists were excessively
sanguine about how far our actual evidence has so far taken us.
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