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This study investigates the likelihood of heavy forces being able
to conduct dominant maneuver in the twenty-first century. The
concept is based upon Army Vision 2010 and establishes the
relevance of indirect maneuver to help identify issues facing the
U.S. Army today. The current heavy armored force relies
predominately upon the direct maneuver approach. At issue is the
appropriateness of future maneuver forces being developed based
upon this force and a direct maneuver model. A thorough review of
maneuver literature reveals that forces relying on the direct
maneuver approach often fail when encountered by forces employing
indirect maneuver. A hypothesis is developed predicting that heavy
forces are insufficient to conduct future dominant maneuver. Three
historical case studies are used to test the hypothesis. The
analysis confirms that mobility, speed differential, and
deployability are trends of success. Absent these, even technology
and firepower are insufficient to generate success. A discussion of
the implications and an air maneuver alternative is offered, as are
suggestions for additional research. The study promotes the
development of future forces based upon maneuver principles, and
provides an alternative force that theoretically would meet the
requirements of future dominant maneuver.
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