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This book provides a synthesis of research findings, in terms of
strategic knowledge outcomes regarding emergence of recent regional
climate signals, implications for impacts assessment, and
mitigation and adaptation response, relevant in the Indian context.
The first part discusses evidence of climate change and its
underlying scientific processes across India, chiefly focusing on
impacts that are already visible and attributable to anthropogenic
activities. The latter part deals with the responses to climate
change, highlighting the mitigation and adaptation strategies in
various sectors and communities. The book presents a concise
interpretation, distilling practical recommendations and policy
prescriptions at national and sub-national levels. It serves as a
reference point for understanding scientific advances and
persisting uncertainty, future vulnerability and response capacity
of interlinked human and natural systems, pertaining to India. It
is an excellent resource for policy makers and industry watchers in
addition to the research fraternity.
Uncertainty due to randomness of hydraulic and hydrologic variables
is modeled when probability distributions of the parameters may be
estimated. Uncertainties due to imprecision in the management
problem may be addressed by use of the fuzzy sets theory. In
addition, some parameters in most of the water resources and
environmental systems need to be addressed as grey parameters, due
to inadequate data for an accurate estimation but with known
extreme bounds of the parameter values. Such grey uncertainty in
the model parameters can be addressed by representing them as
interval grey numbers, a closed and bounded interval with known
lower and upper bounds but unknown distribution information.
Considerable research works are available on uncertainty modeling
addressing stochastic nature of different input parameters, and
uncertainty due to imprecision in various components of a water
management problem. Most parameters involved in the optimization
model are, however, also uncertain and such uncertainty has so far
not been considered in different optimization models for water
resources and environmental systems. This book aims to bridge this
gap.
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