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DRAG (from un modele de la Demande Routiere, des Accidents et leur
Gravite) is a complex computer model that simulates accident
propensities under detailed conditions. The DRAG approach
constitutes the largest road accident modelling effort ever
undertaken. Gaudry is the creator and developer of DRAG and this
work explains its nature, purpose and value. Such a model, which
explains accidents for a whole region, province or country, has
advantages in answering many questions asked about accidents (such
as the role of the economic cycle, weather, prices, insurance etc.)
that other models fail to take fully into account.
DRAG research is underpinned by a fundamental theoretical
innovation which sees a 3-level approach to analysing the
determinants of the number of road victims in a given accident:
Exposure (the distance travelled), Accident Frequency Risk and
Accident Severity Risk (i.e. the number of victims of each type of
accident). In applying flexible mathematical forms, the DRAG model
also allows significant conceptual and empirical claims to be made
about the importance of detecting responses that reverse themselves
(to alcohol, and to other factors).
Under Gaudry's guidance, a family of DRAG-inspired models has grown
up, based on their development for different countries and this
book explores each national model in turn. As more countries seek
to adopt the DRAG approach, this book serves as a timely, unique
and valuable guide to the model.
The "Tra?c and Granular Flow '07" conference was the seventh of a
series of international conferences that started in 1995 in Julic
.. h (Germany). Since then, the conference took place in Duisburg
(1997), Stuttgart (1999), Nagoya (2001), Delft (2003) and Berlin
(2005). The aim of TGF conferences is to facilitate the exchanges
between various ?elds dealing with transport. When the conference
was created, the ?elds that were represented were road tra?c and
granular ?ow - hence the name of the series. Since then, the scope
of the conference has been enlarged to include in particular
collective motion in biology (molecular motors), a subject which
turns out to have many connections with the two original ones.
Transversal themes have emerged. For TGF07, a session was
speci?cally devoted to the subject of networks. An important theme
is also the one of self-propelled particles. It ranges from
granular ?ows with anisotropic grains, to collective motion of
animals, and to pedestrian tra?c. We were very happy to organize
the 2007 occurrence of TGF in Orsay (France), at the University
Paris-Sud. The conference was organized mainly by the Laboratory of
Theoretical Physics (LPT), with the help of the Labo- tory FAST
(Fluides, Automatique et Syst' emes Thermiques) - these two la-
ratories are both associated to the CNRS (Centre National pour la
Recherche Scienti?que) - and of the GARIG Group at INRETS.
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