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In Japan, the Delphi method is applied since 1971 to foresee
possible technological developments. The same approach was used in
Germany in 1992 for the first time. The German expert survey about
the development of future technology was based on the Japanese
survey conducted in 1991 and discussed the same topics.
In this book, the results of both studies are compared and
analysed. From the comparison, conclusions can be drawn on the
relevance of certain technology fields or disciplines not only for
public technology policy but also for companies. Possible times of
realization, constraints on the realization, the current R&D
level of nations or the necessity of international co-operation
give hints about tomorrow's technology and its economic and
societal impacts.
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