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Why did Europe experience industrialisation and modern economic
growth before China, India or Japan? This is one of the most
fundamental questions in Economic History and one that has provoked
intense debate. The main concern of this book is to determine when
the gap in living standards between the East and the West emerged.
The established view, dating back to Adam Smith, is that the gap
emerged long before the Industrial Revolution, perhaps thousands of
years ago. While this view has been called into question - and many
of the explanations for it greatly undermined - the issue demands
much more empirical research than has yet been undertaken. How did
the standard of living in Europe and Asia compare in the
seventeenth and eighteenth centuries? The present book proposes an
answer by considering evidence of three sorts. The first is
economic, focusing on income, food production, wages, and prices.
The second is demographic, comparing heights, life expectancy and
other demographic indicators. The third combines the economic and
demographic by investigating the demographic vulnerability to
short-term economic stress. The contributions show the highly
complex and diverse pattern of the standard of living in the
pre-industrial period. The general picture emerging is not one of a
great divergence between East and West, but instead one of
considerable similarities. These similarities not only pertain to
economic aspects of standard of living but also to demography and
the sensitivity to economic fluctuations. In addition to these
similarities, there were also pronounced regional differences
within the East and within the West - regional differences that in
many cases were larger than the average differences between Europe
and Asia. This clearly highlights the importance of analysing
several dimensions of the standard of living, as well as the danger
of neglecting regional, social, and household specific differences
when assessing the level of well-being in the past.
What is the influence of family and kinship networks on fertility,
marriage, migration and mortality? Population scientists have
studied the relationship between families, both immediate and
extended, and demographic behavior for many years. This volume
highlights the convergence of research by a group of demographers,
economic historians, historians, anthropologists, sociologists and
geneticists. The contributors use longitudinal databases from
different cultures to study families that existed in the past and
focus on the role that families and kin groups played in both early
and later life events.
Tommy Bengtsson Population ageing, the shift in age distribution
towards older ages, is of immense global concern. It is taking
place to a varying degree all over the world, more in Europe and
some Asian countries, less on the African continent. The worldwide
share of people aged 65 years and above is predicted to increase
from 7. 5% in 2005 to 16. 1% in 2050 (UN 2007, p. 11). The
corresponding ?gures for developed countries are 15. 5 and 26. 2%
and for developing countries 5. 5 and 14. 6%. While population
ageing has been going on for some time in the developed world, and
will continue to do so, most of the change is yet to come for the
developing world. The change in developing countries, however, is
going to be much faster than it has been in the developed world.
For example, while it took more than 100 years in France and more
than 80 years in Sweden for the population group aged 65 and above
to increase from 7 to 14% of the population, the same change in
Japan took place over a 25-year period (UN 2007, p. 13). The
scenario for the future is very similar for most developing
countries, including highly populated countries like China, India
and Brazil. While the start and the speed differ, the shift in age
structure towards older ages is a worldwide phenomenon, stressing
the signi?cance of the concept global ageing.
Tommy Bengtsson The Swedish welfare model of the 1960s and 1970s
excited great interest among many other countries. Today it still
is an ideal image for some but a warning for many others. The
reason why opinion about the Swedish welfare model has changed is
primarily Sweden's financial problems, which are associated with a
badly financed and excessively large public sector. It is argued
that the size of the budget deficit is a great problem in itself,
but also, and perhaps more importantly, that the large public
sector has negative effects on the entire economy since it lead to
inefficient allocation of resources. A first step in order to solve
these problems is to examine how they arose. The questions then are
to what extent the large public sector which Sweden has today
results from social entitlements which have come into existence
since the 1960s, from the maturing of welfare systems decided upon
earlier, from unfavourable demographic developments, or from
economic stagnation, and how these factors are interlinked. What is
quite clear is that Sweden has had very low economic growth during
the 1970s and 1980s compared with the preceding period. But so have
many other industrial countries, without their having in
consequence found themselves in diffi culties as great as Sweden's.
Therefore economic stagnation alone cannot explain Sweden's
situation."
Tommy Bengtsson Population ageing, the shift in age distribution
towards older ages, is of immense global concern. It is taking
place to a varying degree all over the world, more in Europe and
some Asian countries, less on the African continent. The worldwide
share of people aged 65 years and above is predicted to increase
from 7. 5% in 2005 to 16. 1% in 2050 (UN 2007, p. 11). The
corresponding ?gures for developed countries are 15. 5 and 26. 2%
and for developing countries 5. 5 and 14. 6%. While population
ageing has been going on for some time in the developed world, and
will continue to do so, most of the change is yet to come for the
developing world. The change in developing countries, however, is
going to be much faster than it has been in the developed world.
For example, while it took more than 100 years in France and more
than 80 years in Sweden for the population group aged 65 and above
to increase from 7 to 14% of the population, the same change in
Japan took place over a 25-year period (UN 2007, p. 13). The
scenario for the future is very similar for most developing
countries, including highly populated countries like China, India
and Brazil. While the start and the speed differ, the shift in age
structure towards older ages is a worldwide phenomenon, stressing
the signi?cance of the concept global ageing.
Intergenerational research is crucial in understanding long term
demographic trends. This book examines the ways kinship affects
demographic behavior, including mortality patterns to determine the
influence of fertility patterns, the contribution of parents'
longevity, and the affects of a family history of disease. It
emphasizes the importance of studies that include and compare other
factors related to social organization with information on
multi-generational families.
Malthus's Essay on the Principle of Population has for the past two
centuries been a constant source of inspiration and debate for
scholars working on relationships between population and economy in
historical perspective. This book of collected essays-an outcome of
an A-session held at the 12th International Congress of Economic
History in Madrid, 1998-sets a new standard in this active and
influential field of research. The contributors go beyond the
conventional European and North American geographical boundaries,
bringing out new empirical findings and developing new arguments.
The volume is divided into three parts. The first section takes up
classical issues, the 'positive' and the 'preventive' checks and
their determinants, raised by Malthus himself, and examines the
issues against fresh evidence from Europe, America, and Asia. These
issues are also themes of the second part, devoted to short-term
fluctuations in mortality and fertility in relation to prices,
wages, and other economic indicators. The final set of chapters is
a coherent collection of technically sophisticated articles from an
on-going international joint project concerned with how households
respond to economic stress in different economic, social and
cultural settings, in traditional China, Japan, Sweden, Belgium and
Italy. With a brief but well organized introduction, this
collection of scholarly essays offers both demographers and
economic historians a wealth of exciting findings and stimulating
insights.
A pioneering work in comparative history and social science that
compares population behavior in response to adversity in Europe and
Asia. This highly original book-the first in a series analyzing
historical population behavior in Europe and Asia-pioneers a new
approach to the comparative analysis of societies in the past.
Using techniques of event history analysis, the authors examine
100,000 life histories in 100 rural communities in Western Europe
and Asia to analyze the demographic response to social and economic
pressures. In doing so they challenge the accepted Eurocentric
Malthusian view of population processes and demonstrate that
population behavior has not been as uniform as previously
thought-that it has often been determined by human agency,
particularly social structure and cultural practice. The authors
examine the complex relationship between human behavior and social
and economic environment, analyzing age, gender, family, kinship,
social class and social organization, climate, food prices, and
real wages to compare mortality responses to adversity. Their
research at the individual, household, and community levels
challenges the previously accepted characterizations of social and
economic behavior in Europe and Asia in the past. The originality
of the analysis as well as the geographic breadth and historical
depth of the data make Life Under Pressure a significant advance in
the field of historical demography. Its findings will be of
interest to scholars in economics, environmental studies,
demography, history, and sociology as well as the general reader
interested in these subjects.
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