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The Life Cycle Hypothesis provides evidence of an ordered process
behind the apparent randomness of financial asset price movements,
economic fluctuations, and social trends. It shows how genuine
information will have a dramatic effect on any system into which it
is inserted, and will generate reactions that are essentially
pre-programmed. These reactions involve the processes of advance
and decline, and therefore embrace a set of specific lower-order
fluctuations. Financial and economic analysts have long been
familiar with the resulting phenomena, but have had difficulty
providing a satisfactory explanation. The Life Cycle Hypothesis
builds on the findings of Tony Plummer's previous book, The Law of
Vibration, and shows that nature itself contains the answer. There
is a universal blueprint that manages growth, that organises
evolution, and that contends with decline. In effect, the shock of
fresh information creates a new organism whose energy travels along
a natural pathway between birth and death. It is this pathway that
generates such widely diverse phenomena as personal mid-life
crises, the swarming of innovations, recurring patterns in
financial markets, and rhythmic oscillations in national economies.
It is this pathway that produced the Great Depression of the 1930s,
the inflation trauma of the 1970s, and the global financial crisis
of 2007-08. The same pathway now suggests that there may be a major
global crisis in the early years of the next decade. The Life Cycle
Hypothesis has the potential to change the way that we understand
the world. It will therefore have a natural appeal for investors,
economists, and social scientists. It will also be of great
interest to those who sense a connection between the diverse social
and political upheavals that are currently impacting us, and who
want to understand the forces at work.
Forecasting Financial Markets provides a compelling insight into
the psychology of trading behaviour and shows how "following the
herd" can have disastrous results. It demonstrates how your ability
to make money in the world's financial markets depends critically
on your ability to make decisions independently of the crowd. Given
the impact of the global credit crunch, it has become even more
essential to be able to distinguish between short-term and
longer-term trends at a time when panic selling and 'fire-sale'
purchases are common. Forecasting Financial Markets details the
three dimensions essential to achieve successful trading, including
an ability to understand the forces at work in logical terms,
recognize (and neutralize) any emotional responses to market
fluctuations, and design an investment process or trading system
that generates objective 'buy' or 'sell' signals. Taking the
author's latest research into account, this important book provides
you with an in-depth assessment of the phenomenon of cycles,
patterns of economic and financial activity, and how to use cycles
as a forecasting tool - including the author's forecasts for when
the global economy will emerge from its current downturn.
In 'The Law of Vibration' Tony Plummer presents a new theory which
he argues is revealing of a fundamental truth about the
deep-structure of the universe. The Law is embodied in a very
specific pattern of oscillation that accompanies change and
evolution. It can be found in fluctuations in stock markets and in
economic activity. The research here suggests that the pattern was
known about in antiquity because it was buried in a short passage
in St Matthew's Gospel in the Bible. It also suggests that it was
known about in the early part of the 20th century because it was
concealed in the structure of books written by the renowned stock
market trader, William D. Gann, and by the mindfulness exponent,
George Gurdjieff. Both men chose to preserve their knowledge of the
pattern in a hidden form for some unknown future purpose. Now,
after 20 years of investigation, Tony Plummer tells the story of
how the pattern was originally hidden. Drawing on painstaking
research on gematria, the enneagram and financial market analysis,
Plummer reveals the existence of a behavioural pattern that may
have profound implications for the way that we view the
world.Plummer's work is elegantly structured and illustrated
throughout. It is an exciting and thought-provoking study for Gann
enthusiasts, and also for investors, economists and scientists who
have an interest in the laws that underpin systemic coherence and
produce collective order.
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