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This book explores the deep roots of modern democracy, focusing on
geography and long-term patterns of global diffusion. Its
geographic argument centers on access to the sea, afforded by
natural harbors which enhance the mobility of people, goods,
capital, and ideas. The extraordinary connectivity of harbor
regions thereby affected economic development, the structure of the
military, statebuilding, and openness to the world - and, through
these pathways, the development of representative democracy. The
authors' second argument focuses on the global diffusion of
representative democracy. Beginning around 1500, Europeans started
to populate distant places abroad. Where Europeans were numerous
they established some form of representative democracy, often with
restrictions limiting suffrage to those of European heritage. Where
they were in the minority, Europeans were more reticent about
popular rule and often actively resisted democratization. Where
Europeans were entirely absent, the concept of representative
democracy was unfamiliar and its practice undeveloped.
This book explores the deep roots of modern democracy, focusing on
geography and long-term patterns of global diffusion. Its
geographic argument centers on access to the sea, afforded by
natural harbors which enhance the mobility of people, goods,
capital, and ideas. The extraordinary connectivity of harbor
regions thereby affected economic development, the structure of the
military, statebuilding, and openness to the world - and, through
these pathways, the development of representative democracy. The
authors' second argument focuses on the global diffusion of
representative democracy. Beginning around 1500, Europeans started
to populate distant places abroad. Where Europeans were numerous
they established some form of representative democracy, often with
restrictions limiting suffrage to those of European heritage. Where
they were in the minority, Europeans were more reticent about
popular rule and often actively resisted democratization. Where
Europeans were entirely absent, the concept of representative
democracy was unfamiliar and its practice undeveloped.
Building effective state institutions before introducing democracy
is widely presumed to improve different development outcomes.
Conversely, proponents of this "stateness-first" argument
anticipate that democratization before state building yields poor
development outcomes. In this Element, we discuss several strong
assumptions that (different versions of) this argument rests upon
and critically evaluate the existing evidence base. In extension,
we specify various observable implications. We then subject the
stateness-first argument to multiple tests, focusing on economic
growth as an outcome. First, we conduct historical case studies of
two countries with different institutional sequencing histories,
Denmark and Greece, and assess the stateness-first argument (e.g.,
by using a synthetic control approach). Thereafter, we draw on an
extensive global sample of about 180 countries, measured across
1789-2019 and leverage panel regressions, preparametric matching,
and sequence analysis to test a number of observable implications.
Overall, we find little evidence to support the stateness-first
argument.
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