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This book is published open access under a CC BY 4.0 license.
Predicting the time needed to complete a project, task or daily
activity can be difficult and people frequently underestimate how
long an activity will take. This book sheds light on why and when
this happens, what we should do to avoid it and how to give more
realistic time predictions. It describes methods for predicting
time usage in situations with high uncertainty, explains why two
plus two is usually more than four in time prediction contexts,
reports on research on time prediction biases, and summarizes the
evidence in support of different time prediction methods and
principles. Based on a comprehensive review of the research, it is
the first book summarizing what we know about judgment-based time
predictions. Large parts of the book are directed toward people
wishing to achieve better time predictions in their professional
life, such as project managers, graphic designers, architects,
engineers, film producers, consultants, software developers, or
anyone else in need of realistic time usage predictions. It is also
of benefit to those with a general interest in judgment and
decision-making or those who want to improve their ability to
predict and plan ahead in daily life.
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