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The difficulties associated with making risk assessments on the
basis of experimental results are familiar to practitioners in many
fields engineering, epidemiology, chemistry, etc. These
difficulties are particularly common in problems that have dynamic
and stochastic characteristics driven by multiple purposes and
goals, with complex interconnections and inter dependencies.
Acquiring an appropriate data base, processing and analyzing model
results, and transmitting these results at an appropriate
technical, social, political, and institutional level are
additional difficulties that must be addressed. This book is
grounded on the premise that risks are best assessed on the basis
of experimental results and sound mathematical analyses, coupled
with the knowledge of experts. The carcinogenicity prediction and
battery selection (ePBS) approach described herein provides a
systematic mechan ism-a synthesis of systems and statistical and
decision analyses-to aid researchers and decision makers in the
critical field of carcinogenicity prediction in selecting an
appropriate battery of tests to use and in translating experimental
results into information that can be used as an aid to decision
making."
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