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This book provides a critical commentary on China's situation and
future outlook from the perspective of the 2012-13 generational
power transfer. In this power transfer, taking place against the
background of an increasingly unstable domestic situation, an
apparently outstandingly successful generation of "half-communist"
leaders, recently increasingly plagued by scandal, transferred
responsibility to a generation confronted by mixed expectations and
factional in-fighting. Many international observers doubt that the
new leadership will have the will or the power to introduce serious
reforms in a country that reports 100,000 riots involving more than
500 persons in public areas per year. The China of 2013 seems to be
in the midst of a transition seldom seen since the 1970s. The
question is if the resulting hope expressed by Chinese dissidents
and Western leaders for a "necessary" development of China's still
largely autocratic system towards a kind of context-adequate
democracy is plausible or not. Featuring incisive commentary by the
authors and interviews with experts on the region's political
economy, the volume addresses such timely questions as: Should
"rapid democratization" of China be the strategic goal of the West
or rather a step-by-step approach towards the "rule of law" first,
and "illiberal democracy" to follow? Should the West be more
worried about a thriving China, or a China in crisis? Will China's
success contribute to the success of the global community and the
world order system, or be a threat to it? What can the West do to
help China develop more participatory and inclusive approaches in
order to secure social stability? And how can the West strengthen
its democratic allies on China's borders? Endorsements "This is a
book I recommend to students and teachers around the globe. It
provides a concise introduction into present China's main problems,
questions and perspectives. A must for all who try to understand
the rising Pacific giant not through short-term answers, but
through long-term questions." Professor Ole Bruun, Institute for
Society and Globalization, Roskilde University, Denmark "The rise
of China to global superpower calls for clear, condensed, yet
comprehensive comments for the broader public. This book
accomplishes those goals, providing a quick yet comprehensive
introduction into what we may expect as the Middle Kingdom seeks to
assert what it increasingly sees as its rightful role as a leading
world power." Professor Richard Appelbaum, MacArthur Foundation
Chair in Global & International Studies and Sociology,
University of California at Santa Barbara "The new constellation
between China and the West needs inspiring departure points of
discussion, which may be sober or provocative. This booklet is both
in one. It should be used as a basis for in-depth discussion and I
recommend it for classrooms and the global civil society debate."
Professor Jan Nederveen Pieterse, Mellichamp Professor of Global
Studies and Sociology, University of California at Santa Barbara
Das Buch zeichnet das Gesamtbild der Situation und Perspektiven
Chinas. Die Machtubergabe von einer im vergangenen Jahrzehnt
erfolgreichen an eine noch wenig bekannte und von zahlreichen
Umbruchen erschutterte Generation von Eliten innerhalb der
herrschenden Einheitspartei in den Jahren 2012-13 weckt Hoffnungen
auf Liberalisierung, wenn nicht gar Demokratisierung. Der
Optimismus von Dissidenten, Zivilgesellschaftern und Politikern
scheint heute so gross wie selten an neueren historischen
UEbergangspunkten des Landes. Doch gibt es dem entgegengesetzt auch
Tendenzen zur Ruckkehr zu einem neuen Konservativismus und
Nationalismus sowie zu einer expansiveren Haltung Chinas, etwa im
Pazifik oder in Afrika. Das Buch, geschrieben in der Kaderschmide
der amerikanischen Diplomatie, der Stanford Universitat im Zentrum
von Silikon Valley, zeichnet ein einmaliges, interdisziplinares
Gesamtbild der aktuellen Situation des "mittleren Reiches" im
Spannungsfeld zwischen Innen- und Aussenpolitik. Es bezieht dabei
Politik, Wirtschaft und Kultur ebenso ein wie den Einfluss von
Religion auf die Grundhaltung der Eliten. Anhand zahlreicher
Beispiele der aktuellen Gesellschaftsentwicklung stellt es erstens
die Frage, ob aus heutiger Sicht Demokratisierung oder Entwicklung
zum Rechtsstaat die realistische Perspektive fur Chinas Zukunft
ist; und zweitens, wie sich Zukunftsoptionen auf heutige, konkret
im Raum stehende Gesellschaftsphanomene des "Reichs der Mitte"
aufbauen koennen.
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