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Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography - Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies (Paperback, 1st ed. 2022):... Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography - Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies (Paperback, 1st ed. 2022)
Jakub Bijak; Contributions by Philip A. Higham, Jason Hilton, Martin Hinsch, Sarah Nurse, …
R1,020 Discovery Miles 10 200 Ships in 9 - 15 working days

This open access book presents a ground-breaking approach to developing micro-foundations for demography and migration studies. It offers a unique and novel methodology for creating empirically grounded agent-based models of international migration - one of the most uncertain population processes and a top-priority policy area. The book discusses in detail the process of building a simulation model of migration, based on a population of intelligent, cognitive agents, their networks and institutions, all interacting with one another. The proposed model-based approach integrates behavioural and social theory with formal modelling, by embedding the interdisciplinary modelling process within a wider inductive framework based on the Bayesian statistical reasoning. Principles of uncertainty quantification are used to devise innovative computer-based simulations, and to learn about modelling the simulated individuals and the way they make decisions. The identified knowledge gaps are subsequently filled with information from dedicated laboratory experiments on cognitive aspects of human decision-making under uncertainty. In this way, the models are built iteratively, from the bottom up, filling an important epistemological gap in migration studies, and social sciences more broadly.

Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography - Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2022):... Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography - Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2022)
Jakub Bijak; Contributions by Philip A. Higham, Jason Hilton, Martin Hinsch, Sarah Nurse, …
R1,716 Discovery Miles 17 160 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

This open access book presents a ground-breaking approach to developing micro-foundations for demography and migration studies. It offers a unique and novel methodology for creating empirically grounded agent-based models of international migration - one of the most uncertain population processes and a top-priority policy area. The book discusses in detail the process of building a simulation model of migration, based on a population of intelligent, cognitive agents, their networks and institutions, all interacting with one another. The proposed model-based approach integrates behavioural and social theory with formal modelling, by embedding the interdisciplinary modelling process within a wider inductive framework based on the Bayesian statistical reasoning. Principles of uncertainty quantification are used to devise innovative computer-based simulations, and to learn about modelling the simulated individuals and the way they make decisions. The identified knowledge gaps are subsequently filled with information from dedicated laboratory experiments on cognitive aspects of human decision-making under uncertainty. In this way, the models are built iteratively, from the bottom up, filling an important epistemological gap in migration studies, and social sciences more broadly.

Rabelais - the five books and minor writings, together with letters & documents illustrating his life (Volume II) (Paperback):... Rabelais - the five books and minor writings, together with letters & documents illustrating his life (Volume II) (Paperback)
Francois Rabelais; Translated by W.F. Smith
R1,002 Discovery Miles 10 020 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Rabelais - the five books and minor writings, together with letters & documents illustrating his life (Volume II) (Hardcover):... Rabelais - the five books and minor writings, together with letters & documents illustrating his life (Volume II) (Hardcover)
Francois Rabelais; Translated by W.F. Smith
R1,257 Discovery Miles 12 570 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Guide to Havana, Mexico and New York (Paperback): W.F. Smith Guide to Havana, Mexico and New York (Paperback)
W.F. Smith
R447 Discovery Miles 4 470 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Leadership for Educational Renewal: Developing a C Cadre of Leaders (Paperback, Volume 1): W.F. Smith Leadership for Educational Renewal: Developing a C Cadre of Leaders (Paperback, Volume 1)
W.F. Smith
R999 Discovery Miles 9 990 Ships in 12 - 17 working days

From the AgAnda for Education in a Democracy Series

Sponsored by the National Network for Educational Renewal

Introduction by John I. Goodlad

This volume from the AgAnda for Education in a Democracy series introduces the four-part mission that guides the National Network for Educational Renewal's agAnda:

    Enculturate the young in a democracy
  • Ensure access to knowledge for all students
  • Provide caring and effective pedagogy
Exercise responsible stewardship of schools

Using real-life case examples from an innovative national leadership program and its local and regional affiliates, the authors demonstrate why effective leadership is essential to advancing this vital agAnda and how leadership capacity and commitment can be cultivated. From curriculum to evaluation, this important guide outlines the core concepts and winning strategies for building leadership skills in school administrators, teachers, teacher educators, and other university faculty.

Readings from Rabelais (Paperback): W.F. Smith Readings from Rabelais (Paperback)
W.F. Smith; Francois Rabelais
R1,045 Discovery Miles 10 450 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Originally published in 1920, this book contains a selection of passages from Rabelais. Detailed notes and a biography of Rabelais are also included. This book will be of value to anyone with an interest in the works of Rabelais and French Renaissance literature.

Free Delivery
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