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The causes of armed conflict have historically been viewed in
primarily sociological terms, with political, religious, economic,
and military factors sharing primacy. Few have examined the causes
of warfare in the context of a deterrence model or, specifically,
the deterrence factors inherent in the checks and balances of a
democratic state and the absence of such factors in the
nondemocratic state. More significantly, none before Prof. John
Norton Moore has argued the value of democratic principles in
deterrence and conflict avoidance. In this important book, Dr. Gary
Sharp analyzes the concepts in Moore's seminal work The War Puzzle
(2005), which describes Moore's incentive theory of war avoidance.
Sharp carefully dissects Moore's deterrence model and examines
those incentives that discourage nondemocratic governments from
pursuing violent conflicts. Arguing that existing democracies must
make an active effort to foster the political environment in which
new democracies can develop, Sharp discusses the elements critical
to promoting democratization and thus strengthening systemwide
deterrence at the state and international levels. Sharp also
examines the incentives for conflict avoidance (internal checks and
balances) inherent in the democratic state and their relationship
to war avoidance. In examining current democracies and comparing
them statistically to nondemocratic states, Sharp calculates an
aggregated index value of democracy based upon respected databases
that rank the jurisdictions of the world on political rights, civil
liberties, media independence, religious freedom, economic freedom,
and human development. Demonstrating through his analysis that
democracies are inherently more peaceful because of the internal
checks and balances on the aggressive use of force, Sharp similarly
demonstrates how nondemocracies require external checks and
balances to preclude aggression. Sharp's analysis and validation of
Moore's incentive theory of war avoidance is critical to an
understanding of those foreign policy strategies that the United
States and other democratic nations must embrace as they attempt to
reverse a course of history in which 38.5 million war deaths were
recorded in the twentieth century alone.
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