Any alteration of the natural processes occurring on a piece of
land will have expected as well as unanticipated effects, and those
effects have little regard for arbitrary human boundaries.
Consequently, it is not enough for land managers to consider only
how they might maintain the parcels for which they are responsible;
they must also anticipate how changes to neighboring lands might
impact their properties.
Land Use Scenarios: Environmental Consequences of Development
demonstrates how the success of local decision making is largely
determined by factors that are difficult to control or forecast. It
shows the importance of geographic vulnerability analysis, which
takes into consideration possible scenarios about how, where, and
when future patterns of land use might develop. It points to the
consideration of critical uncertainties those aspects of the
future, that while difficult to predict, may have a profound impact
on pending decisions.
Detailing research supported by the United States Marine Corps,
the text presents a study of the region of Marine Corps Base Camp
Pendleton and Air Station Miramar in California. While this area
remains largely un-built, but extensively used, ongoing regional
growth is having dramatic impact on the land and must be factored
into any decision making. This research
- Provides a better understanding of the potential consequences
of urban development on native flora and fauna
- Describes theoretical concerns prompted by scenario-based
projections
- Gives an overview of the history of scenario-based techniques
for urban and regional planning
- Helps define measures for maintaining undeveloped lands in
rapidly developing areas
In publishing this research, the investigators provide
information regarding issues of urban development and possible
environmental consequences to stakeholders and jurisdictions whose
actions may influence the future of the region. More broadly, the
book will aid managers and stakeholders from other areas to engage
spatial contingencies toward the goal of developing more resilient
landscapes.
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