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Election Timing (Paperback)
Loot Price: R966
Discovery Miles 9 660
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Election Timing (Paperback)
Series: Political Economy of Institutions and Decisions
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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Endogenous election timing allows leaders to schedule elections
'when the time is right'. The author proposes and tests an
informational theory of endogenous election timing that explains
when leaders call for elections and the consequences of their
decisions. In particular, he argues that, if all else is equal,
leaders announce elections when they anticipate a decline in their
future performance. As a consequence, early elections signal a
leader's lack of confidence in future outcomes. The earlier
elections occur, relative to expectations, the stronger the signal
of demise. Using data on British parliaments since 1945, the author
tests hypotheses related to timing of elections, electoral support
and subsequent economic performance. Leaders who call elections
early (relative to expectations) experience a decline in their
popular support relative to pre-announcement levels, experience
worse post-electoral performance, and have shorter campaigns.
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