Are American political parties really in decay? Have American
voters really given up on the major parties? Taking issue with
widely accepted theories of dealignment and party decay, Paulson
argues that the most profound realignment in American history
occurred in the 1960s, and he presents an alternative theory of
realignment and party revival.
In the 1964-1972 period, factional struggles within the major
American political parties were resolved, with conservative
Republicans and liberal Democrats emerging as the majority factions
within their parties. The result was a critical realignment in
Presidential elections, in which the decisive realignment involved
the movement of white voters in the south toward the Republican
coalition. The impression of dealignment came from the fact that
electoral change in Congressional elections moved at a much slower
rate. The south continued to vote Democratic for congress, usually
for incumbent conservative Democrats. The result was an electoral
environment which produced divided government. Secular realignment
in congressional elections produced the Republican majorities of
1994. Now the conservative Democrats who were the swing voters
since the 1960s, were voting Republican. The result is that the
coalitions for yet another realignment are in place at the turn of
the twenty-first century. After three decades in which the swing
voters were relatively conservative, the new swing voter is a
genuine centrist; an independent who is ideologically moderate. The
coming realignment, Paulson asserts, will consummate the birth of a
new, ideologically, polarized party system with a greater potential
for party government, which would be a fundamental change for
American democracy. A major resource for scholars, students, and
other researchers interested in American parties and elections.
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