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Why Americans Split Their Tickets - Campaigns, Competition and Divided Government (Hardcover)
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Why Americans Split Their Tickets - Campaigns, Competition and Divided Government (Hardcover)
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"In Why Americans Split Their Tickets," Barry C. Burden and David
C. Kimball argue that divided government is produced
unintentionally. Using a new quantitative method to analyze voting
in presidential, House, and Senate elections from 1952 to 1996,
they reject the dominant explanation for divided government, that
ticket splitting is done to balance parties that are far from the
center. The ideological positions of candidates do not matter in
American elections, but voters favor centrist candidates rather
than a mix of extremists. When candidates of opposing parties adopt
similar platforms, ticket splitting arises. For voters, ideological
differences between the parties blur and other considerations such
as candidate characteristics exert a greater influence on their
voting decisions. Among their other findings, the authors link
changes in congressional campaigns--namely the rise of incumbency
advantage and the greater importance of money in the 1960s and
1970s--to ticket splitting and argue, in addition, that the
transformation of the South from a Democratic stronghold to a
Republican-leaning environment has made regional factors less
important.
Burden and Kimball draw upon a diverse and unique range of data as
evidence for their argument. Their analyses rely on survey data,
aggregate election returns, and new ecological inference estimates
for every House and Senate election from 1952 to 1996. This
approach allows for the examination of divided voting in
traditional ways, such as choosing a Democratic presidential
candidate and a Republican House candidate on a single ballot, to
less traditional forms, such as voting in a midterm House election
and choosing a state's Senatedelegation.
Barry C. Burden is Assistant Professor of Government, Harvard
University. David C. Kimball is Assistant Professor of Political
Science, University of Missouri, St. Louis.
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