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Future Trends from Past Cyles (Paperback)
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Future Trends from Past Cyles (Paperback)
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Harnessing probabilities with groundbreaking precision Future
Trends from Past Cycles explains how to identify potential future
trends and turning points in equity prices (short, long and
medium-term) by analysing past cycles in market data. Brian
Millard's renowned technical expertise and mathematical insight
forms the basis of this fascinating guide, built around a blend of
cycle, channel and probability analysis. With a thoroughly
documented methodology, and numerous worked examples at every step
of the process, this is an exceptionally lucid and insightful
contribution to the literature of technical analysis. It will help
the trader to harness probabilities to their advantage, and to
limit their risk, with greater precision than ever before. Finding
the key 10% with a trading triple lock This book teaches you how to
use cycles in your trading in a way that hasn't been attempted
previously. At its heart are the three disciplines of cycle,
channel and probability analysis, which ensure a triple lock on
probability - massively reducing the blind spots and speculative
nature common to more one-dimensional technical approaches. While
the general view of technical analysts is that virtually all
securities can be analysed for future movement, the detailed
workings and research in this book shows that this is not the case.
Only a small number, around 10%, have cycles which extrapolation
shows to be currently in a stable state and which therefore would
appear to be predictable. Brian Millard details the mechanics of
identifying this 10% - estimating the stability of trend positions,
drawing probability boundaries for price positions, and deducing
the core probability of any given price trend. He looks closely at
the various forms of risk at play in the markets, uncovers the
hidden mathematics of price movement, and shows how to simulate
future movements; as well as presenting ideas on the best new ways
to read cycles, evaluate mathematical trends, plot moving averages
and anticipate turning points. Like the work of J. M. Hurst,
Millard's forbear, Future Trends "shows what is possible when
approaching the markets with a measured, logical technique based on
firm mathematical and scientific logic." It is the essential final
book from an acclaimed technical analyst and author.
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