Monitoring covert offensive biological weapons research from afar
has always been a daunting task. The problems facing analysts today
are even more difficult, as advances in life sciences and dual-use
biotechnology are rapidly spreading the knowledge, equipment, and
materials needed to produce crude and sophisticated biological
weapons around the world. Unlike nuclear programs, a well-defined
and limited set of equipment and material that can be controlled
through various import/export controls does not exist. Future
monitoring will become more challenging as the distinctions among
military, civilian and dual-use research and applications continue
to blur. Managing proliferation risks in this environment will
constitute the greatest challenge to policymakers in the biological
weapons arena over the next two decades.
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