In the past eight years, there has been a massive increase in
government spending on counterterrorism intervention development
and implementation. Given this increase, there are two
evidence-based policy questions that are important to address:
Is there evidence that any of these programs are effective - in
other words, can they be shown to be linked to reducing terrorism,
terrorist recruiting, or to improving the response and management
of terrorist events?
Do these interventions have secondary or collateral effects that
may be costly, harmful, illegal, beneficial, or otherwise?
As Lum and Kennedy discovered in an evaluation research on
counterterrorism interventions, only a minuscule number of
empirical studies of terrorism exist and there is an almost
complete absence of evaluation research on counter-terrorism
strategies. This is startling given the enormous increases in the
development and use of counter-terrorism programs, as well as
spending on counter-terrorism activity. Even more disconcerting was
the nature of the evaluations we did find; some programs were shown
to either have no discernible effect on terrorism or lead to
increases in terrorism. The emphasis of the need for empirical
research in evaluating interventions and informing policy cannot be
overstated, and is the primary goal of "Evidence-Based
Counterterrorism Policy."
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