Demography is not destiny. As Giacomo Casanova explained over two
centuries ago: 'There is no such thing as destiny. We ourselves
shape our own lives.' Today we are shaping them and our societies
more than ever before. Globally, we have never had fewer children
per adult: our population is about to stabilize, though we do not
know when or at what number, or what will happen after that. It
will be the result of billions of very private decisions influenced
in turn by multiple events and policies, some more unpredictable
than others. More people are moving further around the world than
ever before: we too often see that as frightening, rather than as
indicating greater freedom. Similarly, we too often lament greater
ageing, rather than recognizing it as a tremendous human
achievement with numerous benefits to which we must adapt.
Demography comes to the fore most positively when we see that we
have choices, when we understand variation and when we are not
deterministic in our prescriptions. The study of demography has for
too long been dominated by pessimism and inhuman, simplistic
accounting. As this fascinating and persuasive overview
demonstrates, how we understand our demography needs to change
again.
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