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Improved Understanding of Past Climatic Variability from Early Daily European Instrumental Sources (Hardcover, 2002 ed.)
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Improved Understanding of Past Climatic Variability from Early Daily European Instrumental Sources (Hardcover, 2002 ed.)
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Climate can be defined as an ensemble of many weather phenomena.
Clima tologists often use the mean (conventionally the monthly and
annual mean) of weather-related parameters to describe climate. The
mean value, however, is not all the climate. Climatic changes might
occur if certain aspects of the distribution of extreme values
change, while the mean does not. Katz and Brown (1992), for
example, show from a theoretical viewpoint that in a changing
climate, extreme values are determined more by changes in
variability than changes in the mean. Possible changes in extreme
event frequency receive considerable attention along with the
global warming, because extremes directly impact human society and
the economy. For most societally sensitive extremes and related
changes in their vari ability, an analysis based on daily data
becomes necessary. This paper considers two aspects (relative and
absolute values) of extreme temperatures on a daily basis. We do
not consider spells of extreme days, periods which will likely have
greater socio-economic and health impacts (Kalkstein et al., 1996;
Wagner, 1999), than individual extreme days.
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