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Inflation Dynamics in South Africa - The Role of Thresholds, Exchange Rate Pass-through and Inflation Expectations on Policy Trade-offs (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2017)
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Inflation Dynamics in South Africa - The Role of Thresholds, Exchange Rate Pass-through and Inflation Expectations on Policy Trade-offs (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2017)
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This book offers a comprehensive empirical analysis of South
African inflation dynamics, using a variety of techniques including
counterfactual analysis. The authors elaborate the roles in
inflation of thresholds, nonlinearities and asymmetries introduced
by economic conditions such as the size of exchange rate changes
and volatility, GDP growth, inflation, output gap, credit growth,
sovereign spreads and fiscal policy, providing new policy evidence
on the impact of these. Ndou and Gumata apply techniques to
determine the prevalence of updating inflation expectations, and
reconsider the propagation effects of a number of inflation risk
factors. Asking to what extent the evidence points to a need to
enforce price stability and the anchoring of inflation expectation,
the book fills existing gaps in South African Policy, and maintains
a clear argument that price stability is consistent with the 3 to 6
per cent inflation target range, and that threshold application
should form an important aspect of policy analysis in periods of
macroeconomic uncertainty. As such, the book serves as an excellent
reference text for academic and policy discussions alike.
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