Originally published in 1994. This work investigates seasonal
fluctuations of US and British short term nominal interest rates,
the dollar-sterling exchange rate and short term interest rate
differentials between the US and Britain during the period
1883-1913. It finds that during the pre-World War Gold Standard
seasonal movements in exchange rates did not tend to offset the
seasonal fluctuations in interest rate differentials. It presents a
model to explain the fluctuations and outlines two specific
empirical investigations, considering the results in the light of
more recent historical periods as well.
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