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Deterring Terrorism - A Model for Strategic Deterrence (Paperback)
Loot Price: R1,315
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Deterring Terrorism - A Model for Strategic Deterrence (Paperback)
Series: Contemporary Terrorism Studies
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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This book examines the question of how to deter a non-state
terrorist actor. Can terrorism be deterred? This book argues that
current research is unable to find strong cases of deterrence
success, because it uses a flawed research design which does not
capture the longitudinal dynamics of the process. So far, the focus
of inquiry has been on the tactical elements of a state's
counterterrorism strategy, instead of the non-state actor's grand
strategies. By studying the campaigns of Hezbollah, the
Palestinians, the Irish Republican Army, Chechens, the Kurdistan
Workers' Party, and Al-Qaeda/Taliban and ISIS over time, we can see
that deterrence strategies that target the cost-benefit calculus of
terrorist organizations lead to wars of attrition - which is the
non-state organization's strategy for victory. To escape the
attrition trap, the state must undermine the attrition strategy of
terrorist organizations by using offensive campaigns that become
critical educational moments. The case studies presented here
uncover an evolutionary process of learning, leading to strategic
deterrence successes. Some terrorist organizations abandoned the
use of force altogether, while others abandoned their aspirational
goals or resorted to lower levels of violence. These findings
should enable policymakers to transition from the failed policy
that sought to defeat the Taliban and al-Qaeda in the unending war
in Afghanistan to a policy that successfully applies deterrence.
This book will be of much interest to students of deterrence
theory, terrorism studies, war and conflict studies, and security
studies.
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