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Exploring the Mechanics of Chronic Inflation and Hyperinflation (Paperback, 1st ed. 2017)
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Exploring the Mechanics of Chronic Inflation and Hyperinflation (Paperback, 1st ed. 2017)
Series: SpringerBriefs in Economics
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This book presents a theoretical framework to explain chronic
inflation and hyperinflation. The roots of these two phenomenon are
a fiscal monetary regime in which money issues finance the public
deficit. Chronic inflation is modeled by using both the old and the
new Keynesian model, with a different policy rule. Instead of using
the Taylor rule, the central bank policy rule states that money is
issued to finance the public deficit. The chronic inflation models
take into account the fact that indexation mechanisms adjust prices
and wages, yielding the inertial component of inflation. The
dynamics of these models can be very unstable under parameter
changes or shocks that hit the economy. The previous hyperinflation
models surveyed in this book attempt to explain hyperinflation as a
bubble phenomenon because they assume a constant real deficit
financed by money. The mechanics of hyperinflation models in this
book explains hyperinflation by a fiscal crisis, characterized by
an increasing fiscal deficit. This fiscal crisis yields an
intertemporal budget constraint that is not sustainable. The
analysis of the pathology of hyperinflation uses the same tools
employed to understand the pathologies of public debt and external
debt crises. The hyperinflation model allows a taxonomy of
hyperinflations, namely bubble, weak and strong, that can be tested
with the inflation tax revenue curve.
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