Millions of Americans--including many experienced
politicians--viewed Barack Obama through a prism of high
expectations, based on a belief in the power of presidential
persuasion. Yet many who were inspired by candidate Obama were
disappointed in what he was able to accomplish once in the White
House. They could not understand why he often was unable to
leverage his position and political skills to move the public and
Congress to support his initiatives. Predicting the Presidency
explains why Obama had such difficulty bringing about the change he
promised, and challenges the conventional wisdom about presidential
leadership. In this incisive book, George Edwards shows how we can
ask a few fundamental questions about the context of a
presidency--the president's strategic position or opportunity
structure--and use the answers to predict a president's success in
winning support for his initiatives. If presidential success is
largely determined by a president's strategic position, what role
does persuasion play? Almost every president finds that a
significant segment of the public and his fellow partisans in
Congress are predisposed to follow his lead. Others may support the
White House out of self-interest. Edwards explores the
possibilities of the president exploiting such support, providing a
more realistic view of the potential of presidential persuasion.
Written by a leading presidential scholar, Predicting the
Presidency sheds new light on the limitations and opportunities of
presidential leadership.
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