"Domestic politics matters" has become a rallying cry for
international relations scholars over the past decade, yet the
question still remains: Just how does it matter? In this book,
George Downs and David Rocke argue that an important part of the
international impact of domestic politics springs from the
institutional responses to its many uncertainties. This impact is
due not so much to the errors in judgment these uncertainties can
cause as to the strategic and institutional consequences of knowing
that such errors are possible.
The heart of the book is its formal analysis of how three kinds
of domestic uncertainty have shaped international relations through
their influence on three very different institutions. One chapter
deals with the decision rules that citizens create to cope with
uncertainty about the quality of their representation, and how
these can lead to the paradoxical "gambling for resurrection"
effect. Another chapter describes the extent to which the weak
enforcement provisions of GATT can be understood as a mechanism to
cope with uncertain but intermittent interest group demands for
protection. The third chapter looks at the impact of uncertainty on
the creation, survival, and membership of multilateral regulatory
institutions, such as the Montreal Protocol and EU, when some
states question the capacity of other states to meet their treaty
obligations.
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