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The Euro Trap - On Bursting Bubbles, Budgets, and Beliefs (Paperback)
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The Euro Trap - On Bursting Bubbles, Budgets, and Beliefs (Paperback)
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This book offers a critical assessment of the history of the euro,
its crisis, and the rescue measures taken by the European Central
Bank and the community of states. The euro induced huge capital
flows from the northern to the southern countries of the Eurozone
that triggered an inflationary credit bubble in the latter,
deprived them of their competitiveness, and made them vulnerable to
the financial crisis that spilled over from the US in 2007 and
2008. As private capital shied away from the southern countries,
the ECB helped out by providing credit from the local
money-printing presses. The ECB became heavily exposed to
investment risks in the process, and subsequently had to be bailed
out by intergovernmental rescue operations that provided
replacement credit for the ECB credit, which itself had replaced
the dwindling private credit. The interventions stretched the legal
structures stipulated by the Maastricht Treaty which, in the
absence of a European federal state, had granted the ECB a very
limited mandate. These interventions created a path dependency that
effectively made parliaments vicarious agents of the ECB's
Governing Council. This book describes what the author considers to
be a dangerous political process that undermines both the market
economy and democracy, without solving southern Europe's
competitiveness problem. It argues that the Eurozone has to rethink
its rules of conduct by limiting the role of the ECB, exiting the
regime of soft budget constraints and writing off public and bank
debt to help the crisis countries breathe again. At the same time,
the Eurosystem should become more flexible by offering its members
the option of exiting and re-entering the euro - something between
the dollar and the Bretton Woods system - until it eventually turns
into a federation with a strong political power centre and a
uniform currency like the dollar.
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