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Anticipating a Nuclear Iran - Challenges for U.S. Security (Hardcover)
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Anticipating a Nuclear Iran - Challenges for U.S. Security (Hardcover)
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This volume is based on the assumption that Iran will soon obtain
nuclear weapons, and Jacquelyn K. Davis and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff
Jr. develop alternative models for assessing the challenges of a
nuclear Iran for U.S. security. Through three scenario models, the
book explores the political, strategic, and operational challenges
facing the United States in a post--Cold War world. The authors
concentrate on the type of nuclear capability Iran might develop;
the conditions under which Iran might resort to threatened or
actual weapons use; the extent to which Iran's military strategy
and declaratory policy might embolden Iran and its proxies to
pursue more aggressive policies in the region and vis-?-vis the
United States; and Iran's ability to transfer nuclear materials to
others within and outside the region, possibly sparking a nuclear
cascade. Drawing on recent post--Cold War deterrence theory, the
authors consider Iran's nuclear ambitions as they relate to its
foreign policy objectives, domestic politics, and role in the
Islamic world, and they suggest specific approaches to improve U.S.
defense and deterrence planning.
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