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Books > Social sciences > Politics & government > Political structure & processes > Elections & referenda
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Before the Vote - Forecasting American National Elections (Hardcover)
Loot Price: R3,571
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Before the Vote - Forecasting American National Elections (Hardcover)
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Since the famous 1948 Dewey/Truman election, the role of polling
has taken on increasing prominence in the American electoral
process. Editors James Campbell and James Garand have pulled
together some of the leading figures in political science to
present their forecasts of the 1996 presidential election, along
with accompanying analyses which discuss their methodology. Despite
the relative lack of suspense about the eventual outcome, the
various contributors have some very different angles on the
enterprise of forecasting. Before the Vote presents a series of
critiques, from prominent political scientists who look at the
forecasting enterprise. Issues include whether more accurate models
of predicting voter behavior damages the political climate by
making politicians increasingly enslaved by pollsters, and the
effect on turnout when there is a broad consensus of who the
eventual winner will be. It will be a valuable addition to the
bookshelves of political scientists interested in American
electoral politics and those interested in broad questions
surrounding social science research methods. This book is targeted
toward MSGI courses in political science, American government,
American politics, parties and elections, public opinion and
participation, media and politics, political analysis, and scholars
who work in these areas.
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