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Correct Scores - a Guide to Betting on Football (Paperback)
Loot Price: R369
Discovery Miles 3 690
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Correct Scores - a Guide to Betting on Football (Paperback)
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Loot Price R369
Discovery Miles 3 690
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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Some people think that trying to predict the result of a football
match is largely a waste of time. They instinctively know that
'anything can happen in those 90 minutes and often does'. It's true
that you can never predict the result of a football match with any
degree of certainty, but that doesn't mean that football is wholly
unpredictable. A football match is probabilistic in nature and
always involves an element of 'God plays dice'. Freak results
happen and they are largely unpredictable, but they happen no more
often than they should and the best teams win more often than not.
To be profitable betting on football it's important to evaluate
probabilities rather than predict winners and to use a value based
approach to betting. You'll need to establish what factors are
important and therefore what information is relevant and you'll
need to understand the nature of the problem space. The traditional
approach to data processing for football is to use ratings and
statistics, however neural networks provide a more sophisticated
approach. The subconscious mind can also be very powerful when
trained and used in the right way. Some people rely too much on
their 'gut feeling' when gambling and other people not enough.
Sometimes we feel more certain about a decision than we should and
we tend not to think in terms of probabilities, however it is
possible to train our minds to be more effective. It's also
important to take a disciplined and intelligent approach and to
always learn and evolve. One thing that you must accept is that the
process involves losing and you can't force your luck. You also
need to be realistic: luck is completely random and impersonal. You
can be lucky after the event, but not before. You can't see the
future in a dream. Dreams are windows to the subconscious, not the
future. Whether you plan to take a systematic approach to betting
on football or not, this guide will help you to understand what's
important and what's not and how best to proceed. There is also a
small, easy to understand introduction to neural networks
describing what they are and how they work by way of a simple
example.
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