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Seasons of Change - Lessons From the Arab Spring (Paperback)
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Seasons of Change - Lessons From the Arab Spring (Paperback)
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The Arab Spring is an event that has radically shifted the
geopolitical landscape in one of the most volatile regions of the
world. Many experts and policy makers were caught off guard by the
speed and organizational ability of disparate citizens that
orchestrated and executed these revolutions. As the dust settles
and the United States begins to reassess the new environment, this
monograph asserts that certain indicators can assist planners in
predicting both the nature of potential revolutions and the
likelihood of stability following revolutions in North Africa and
the Middle East. The purpose of this monograph is to analyze which
variables played a significant role in the nature of the Arab
Spring revolutions. This study hypothesizes that the civil-military
relationship in the affected countries is that primary variable.
This monograph uses the case study method by analyzing
civil-military relationships, economics, and political pluralism in
Tunisia, Egypt and Libya. In conclusion, the constant indicator for
less violent revolutions, as well as the attainment of
revolutionary goals, was a universally accepted civil-military
relationship. The findings of this monograph support the hypothesis
of the primary impact that the civil-military relationships had in
the affected countries. Each of the countries had disparate
economic conditions as well as vastly different levels of political
pluralism amongst their populations. These findings do not support
a uniform grievance of the people, be economic or in the form of
civil society enfranchisement and these variables offer little in
future analysis of potential problem areas for military planners.
However, the data clearly demonstrated that the civil-military
relationship amongst the elites, the military, and the population
was a reliable indicator as to the nature and violence level that
would be characteristic of each revolution. This monograph also
provides a framework for planners to approach potentially unstable
General
Imprint: |
Biblioscholar
|
Country of origin: |
United States |
Release date: |
November 2012 |
First published: |
November 2012 |
Authors: |
Jason Noble
|
Dimensions: |
246 x 189 x 3mm (L x W x T) |
Format: |
Paperback - Trade
|
Pages: |
50 |
ISBN-13: |
978-1-288-31779-0 |
Categories: |
Books >
Social sciences >
Education >
General
|
LSN: |
1-288-31779-4 |
Barcode: |
9781288317790 |
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