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The Aggregate Production Function and the Measurement of Technical Change - 'Not Even Wrong' (Paperback)
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The Aggregate Production Function and the Measurement of Technical Change - 'Not Even Wrong' (Paperback)
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'This is an extremely important and long-awaited book. The authors
provide a cogent guide to all that is wrong with the theory and
empirical applications of the discredited notion of an aggregate
production function. Their critique has devastating implications
for orthodox macroeconomics.' - Anwar Shaikh, New School for Social
Research, US 'This is a very important book. Proofs that aggregate
production functions do not exist have been around for more than 50
years. This casts doubt not only on macroeconomic theory but also
on empirical work and policy. Yet, this has not deterred
macro-economists. The authors show in great detail that the
apparent 'fit' of such functions to value-based data is a tautology
and not a proof that such aggregates exist. One hopes that the
profession will finally take note.' - Franklin M. Fisher,
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, US 'Felipe and McCombie have
gathered all of the compelling arguments denying the existence of
aggregate production functions and showing that econometric
estimates based on these fail to measure what they purport to
quantify: they are artefacts. Their critique, which ought to be
read by any economist doing empirical work, is destructive of
nearly all that is important to mainstream economics: NAIRU and
potential output measures, measures of wage elasticities, of output
elasticities and of total factor productivity growth.' - Marc
Lavoie, University of Ottawa, Canada This authoritative and
stimulating book represents a fundamental critique of the aggregate
production function, a concept widely used in macroeconomics. The
authors explain why, despite the serious aggregation problems that
surround it, aggregate production functions often give plausible
statistical results. This is due to the use of constant-price value
data, rather than the theoretically correct physical data, together
with an underlying accounting identity that relates the data
definitionally. It is in this sense that the aggregate production
function is 'not even wrong': it is not a behavioral relationship
capable of being statistically refuted. The book examines the
history of the production function and shows how certain seminal
works on neoclassical growth theory, labor demand functions and
estimates of the mark-up, among others, suffer from this
fundamental problem. The book represents a fundamental critique of
the aggregate production function and will be of interest to all
macroeconomists. Contents: Prologue: 'Not Even Wrong' Introduction
1. Some Problems with the Aggregate Production Function 2. The
Aggregate Production Function: Behavioural Relationship or
Accounting Identity? 3. Simulation Studies, the Aggregate
Production Function and the Accounting Identity 4. 'Are There Laws
of Production?' The Work of Cobb and Douglas and its Early
Reception 5. Solow's Technical Change and the Aggregate Production
Function', and the Accounting Identity 6. What does Total Factor
Productivity Actually Measure? Further Observations on the Solow
Model 7. Why Are Some Countries Richer than Others? A Sceptical
View of Mankiw-Romer-Weil's Test of the Neoclassical Growth Model
8. Some Problems with the Neoclassical Dual-Sector Growth Model 9.
Is Capital Special? The Role of the Growth of Capital and its
Externality Effect in Economic Growth 10. Problems Posed by the
Accounting Identity for the Estimation of the Degree of Market
Power and the Mark-up 11. Are Estimates of Labour Demand Functions
Mere Statistical Artefacts? 12. Why Have the Criticisms of the
Aggregate Production Function Generally Been Ignored? On Further
Misunderstandings and Misinterpretations of the Implications of the
Accounting Identity References Index
General
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