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Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis (Hardcover, 2013 ed.)
Loot Price: R3,324
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Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis (Hardcover, 2013 ed.)
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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Forecasting-the art and science of predicting future outcomes-has
become a crucial skill in business and economic analysis. This
volume introduces the reader to the tools, methods, and techniques
of forecasting, specifically as they apply to financial and
investing decisions. With an emphasis on "earnings per share"
(eps), the author presents a data-oriented text on financial
forecasting, understanding financial data, assessing firm financial
strategies (such as share buybacks and R&D spending), creating
efficient portfolios, and hedging stock portfolios with financial
futures. The opening chapters explain how to understand economic
fluctuations and how the stock market leads the general economic
trend; introduce the concept of portfolio construction and how
movements in the economy influence stock price movements; and
introduce the reader to the forecasting process, including
exponential smoothing and time series model estimations. Subsequent
chapters examine the composite index of leading economic indicators
(LEI); review financial statement analysis and mean-variance
efficient portfolios; and assess the effectiveness of analysts'
earnings forecasts. Using data from such firms as Intel, General
Electric, and Hitachi, Guerard demonstrates how forecasting tools
can be applied to understand the business cycle, evaluate market
risk, and demonstrate the impact of global stock selection modeling
and portfolio construction.
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