This book assesses the effects of spatially concentrated
programs for housing and neighborhood improvement. These programs
provide direct assistance to low income property owners in an
attempt to arrest neighborhood decline and encourage
revitalization.
The authors used the Harvard Urban Development Simulation Model
(HUDS) in evaluating these programs. HUDS, a large scale computer
model, represents the process of housing rehabilitation, the
production and consumption of housing services, household moving
decisions, and other determinant of neighborhood change. The model
simulates the behavior of approximately 80,000 individual
households in two hundred residential neighborhoods of various
quality levels. Unlike more aggregate models of urban development,
HUDS has the capacity to identify how specific housing policies
affect individual households as well as particular
neighborhoods.
Since program evaluations are no better than the models on which
they are based, the authors provide sufficient detail to permit
those readers primarily interested in the policy analysis to assess
the methodology and to understand how the policies are represented
in the model; a more technical discussion of the model is then
presented in appendixes.
Although the simulations focus on policies that induce central
city property owners to upgrade their properties and thus stimulate
revitalization, many of the authors' findings are relevant to
larger issues of urban development. For example, the analysis of
how housing rehabilitation subsidies affect the investment behavior
of nonsubsidized property owners provides insights about the link
between initial upgrading and sustained neighborhood improvement.
The analysis also demonstrates how differences in location,
household, and housing stock characteristics affect a particular
neighborhood s responsiveness to a common policy initiative.
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