The Lockwood Analytical Method for Prediction (LAMP) is a
systematic technique for predicting short-term, unique behaviors.
Using primarily qualitative empirical data, LAMP allows the analyst
to predict the most likely outcomes for specific research questions
across a wide range of intelligence problems, such as cyber threats
in the U.S., the possibility of an Al Qaeda attack, the likelihood
of Iran providing nuclear capability to terrorist groups, or the
future actions of the Mexican drug cartel. LAMP offers an
innovative and powerful method for organizing all available
information based on the perceptions of the national actors, using
it to make relevant predictions as to which alternate future is
most likely to occur at a given moment in time. Its transparent
structure enables anyone to see how an analyst gets from point A to
point B to produce an intelligence estimate. LAMP differs from
other analytical techniques in that it is based on determining the
relative probability of a range of alternate futures, rather than
attempting to determine the quantitative probability of their
occurrence. After explaining its theoretical framework, the text
leads the reader through the process of predictive analysis before
providing practical case studies showing how LAMP is applied
against real world problems, such as the possible responses of
Israel, the U.S., and Lebanon to the behavior of Hezbollah or the
competing visions of the future of Afghanistan. Evaluation of the
method is provided with the case studies to show the effectiveness
of the LAMP predictions over time. The book is complemented by a
website with downloadable software for use by students of
intelligence in conducting their own predictive analysis. It will
be an essential tool for the analyst and the student, not only for
national security issues but also for competitive intelligence.
General
Is the information for this product incomplete, wrong or inappropriate?
Let us know about it.
Does this product have an incorrect or missing image?
Send us a new image.
Is this product missing categories?
Add more categories.
Review This Product
No reviews yet - be the first to create one!
Welcome to Loot.co.za!
Sign in / Register |Wishlists & Gift Vouchers |Help | Advanced search
