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Minimum Deterrence: Examining the Evidence (Paperback)
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Minimum Deterrence: Examining the Evidence (Paperback)
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The National Institute for Public Policy's new book, Minimum
Deterrence: Examining the Evidence, is the first of its kind. Dr.
Keith Payne, the late former Secretary of Defense James Schlesinger
and an unparalleled bipartisan group of senior civilian and
military experts critically examined eight basic assumptions of
Minimum Deterrence against available evidence. In general, Minimum
Deterrence does not fare well under the careful scrutiny.
Proponents of a "Minimum Deterrent" US nuclear force posture
believe that anywhere from a handful to a few hundred nuclear
weapons are adequate to deter reliably and predictably any enemy
from attacking the United States now and in the future. Because
nuclear weapons are so destructive, their thinking goes, no foreign
leader would dare challenge US capabilities. The benefits,
advocates claim, of reducing US nuclear weapons to the "minimum"
level needed are: better relations with Russia and China,
reinforcement of the arms control and Nonproliferation Treaty,
billions of defense dollars in savings, and greater international
stability on the way to "nuclear zero." As political pressure
builds to pursue this vision of minimum US deterrence, Minimum
Deterrence: Examining the Evidence stands as the seminal study to
address the many claims of great benefit against available
empirical evidence. This book was published as a National Institute
Press monograph, Keith B. Payne and James Schlesinger, Minimum
Deterrence: Examining the Evidence (Fairfax, VA: National Institute
Press, 2013) and as a special issue of Comparative Strategy.
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