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Convergence, Divergence and Changing Trade Patterns - Theoretical Inquiries into the Role of Preferences, Factor Accumulation, Technological Change and Government Intervention (Paperback, illustrated edition)
Loot Price: R1,443
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Convergence, Divergence and Changing Trade Patterns - Theoretical Inquiries into the Role of Preferences, Factor Accumulation, Technological Change and Government Intervention (Paperback, illustrated edition)
Series: International Economics and Institutions
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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1. Introduction and overview Until still few years ago, economic
growth theory (going back to Solow, 1956; for an introduction cf.
Burmeister and Dobell, 1970) predicted convergence of both growth
rates and level of per capita income of economies which share
identical preferences, technologies and same population growth
rates, independently of initial conditions. Countries with a low
capital stock grow faster than those with a higher capital stock,
until, in the long-run, they all converge to a common constant
growth rate. This prediction is due to the way how growth is
"explained" in models of this kind. Growth of output per capita
resulted, in the simplest model, from an exogenous growth oflabour
productivity (see e. g. Sala-i-Martin, 1990; Grossman and Helpman,
1991a, ch. 2). Si 1ce this increase of productivity is exogenously
given, the model itselfdoes not give any explanation ofits source.
The prediction ofconvergence ofgrowth rates, itself, is very
doubtful and observations show, that on an international level
either convergence is not given at all, or that it takes a very
long time. The literature of the "new" theory of growth provides a
rich variety of models whose theoretical implications range from
divergence to convergence and thus offers much better working tools
in order to analyze real world observations. These models (starting
with Romer, 1986 and Lucas, 1988) explain growth of GNP or per
capita income from within the model by includingexternal effects
such as a public stock ofknowledge capital (e. g.
General
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