In this book the consequent use of probability theory is proposed
for handling uncertainty in expert systems. It is shown that
methods violating this suggestion may have dangerous consequences
(e.g., the Dempster-Shafer rule and the method used in MYCIN). The
necessity of some requirements for a correct combining of uncertain
information in expert systems is demonstrated and suitable rules
are provided. The possibility is taken into account that interval
estimates are given instead of exact information about
probabilities. For combining information containing interval
estimates rules are provided which are useful in many cases.
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