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Bayesian Full Information Analysis of Simultaneous Equation Models Using Integration by Monte Carlo (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1984)
Loot Price: R1,426
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Bayesian Full Information Analysis of Simultaneous Equation Models Using Integration by Monte Carlo (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1984)
Series: Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, 232
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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In their review of the "Bayesian analysis of simultaneous equation
systems," Dr ze and Richard (1983) - hereafter DR - express the
following viewpoint about the present state of development of the
Bayesian full information analysis of such sys tems i) the method
allows "a flexible specification of the prior density, including
well defined noninformative prior measures"; ii) it yields "exact
finite sample posterior and predictive densities." However, they
call for further developments so that these densities can be eval
uated through 'numerical methods, using an integrated software
packa e. To that end, they recommend the use of a Monte Carlo
technique, since van Dijk and Kloek (1980) have demonstrated that
"the integrations can be done and how they are done." In this
monograph, we explain how we contribute to achieve the developments
suggested by Dr ze and Richard. A basic idea is to use known
properties of the porterior density of the param eters of the
structural form to design the importance functions, i. e.
approximations of the posterior density, that are needed for
organizing the integrations."
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