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Comparative Performance of US Econometric Models (Hardcover, New)
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Comparative Performance of US Econometric Models (Hardcover, New)
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This volume compares strategic properties of the leading
macroeconometric models of the United States. It summarizes the
work of an ongoing seminar supported by the National Science
Foundation and chaired by Lawrence R. Klein of the University of
Pennsylvania. The Seminar meets three times annually. Comparisons
are made across models for such characteristics as conventional
multipliers (fiscal, monetary, and supply side shocks), J-curve
response to dollar depreciation, and forecast performance under
consistent assumptions. There are in-depth comparisons of some
models and investigation of use of high frequency information to
improve forecasts. There are also analyses of the sources of
forecast error. The core structures of models, especially their
ISLM cores, are compared. The volume contains one chapter on
comparison across models of different developing countries. In
addition to the contributions by participating model builders who
meet regularly, the book contains critical appraisals by outsiders.
The contributors include many distinguished economists in model use
and analysis. Many are operators of the countries best known
modelling facilities. The introduction was written by Lawrence R.
Klein, winner of the Nobel Prize in Economic Science in 1980, for
his work in construction and use of econometric models.
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