Probability ideas are the success story common to the growth of
the modern natural and social sciences. Chance, indeterminism, and
statistical inference have radically and globally transformed the
sciences in a "probabilistic revolution."This monumental work
traces the rise, the transformation, and the diffusion of
probabilistic and statistical thinking in the nineteenth and early
twentieth centuries. It is less concerned with specific technical
discoveries than with locating the probability revolution
historically within a larger framework of ideas. There is no
comparable study that treats the rise of probability and statistics
in such scope and depth.The contributors - scientists, historians
and philosophers from eight countries - make it possible for
readers trained in many disciplines to see why the probabilistic
revolution has been so complete and so successful, and how the
rejection of uniform causality by quantum physics, the stochastic
nature of evolutionary biology, the indeterminisms of human
psychology, and the random processes of many economic activities
are all manifestations of an underlying unifying concept.Volume 1
opens with provocative essays on scientific revolutions in general
and the probabilistic revolution in particular by Thomas S. Kuhn,
I. Bernard Cohen, and Ian Hacking. Other authors discuss the
evolution of philosophical ideas about probability and their
articulation and elaboration in the mathematics of the nineteenth
century and describe the first applications of techniques of
statistical inference during that century: Topics include the uses
and abuses of official statistics by the bureaucrats of France,
England, and Prussia; the use - or neglect - of statistics by
nascent sociologists, demographers, and insurance actuaries; and
the emergence of statistical methodologies in fields ranging from
social reform to agricultural production.The emphasis in volume 2
is on the more recent scientific advances of the probabilistic
approach in various natural and social sciences, from "random
walks" in the stock market to random drift in natural selection,
and from indeterminate events at the atomic level to unpredictable
actions at the human level.Lorenz Kruger and Michael Heidelberger
are philosophers of science at Gottingen University, Lorraine J.
Daston is a historian at Brandeis University, Gerd Gigerenzer is a
psychologist at the University of Constance, and Mary S. Morgan is
an economist at York University. A Bradford Book."
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