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Decision Science and Social Risk Management - A Comparative Evaluation of Cost-Benefit Analysis, Decision Analysis, and Other Formal Decision-Aiding Approaches (Hardcover, 1987 ed.)
Loot Price: R4,550
Discovery Miles 45 500
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Decision Science and Social Risk Management - A Comparative Evaluation of Cost-Benefit Analysis, Decision Analysis, and Other Formal Decision-Aiding Approaches (Hardcover, 1987 ed.)
Series: Risk, Governance and Society, 2
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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Economists, decision analysts, management scientists, and others
have long argued that government should take a more scientific
approach to decision making. Pointing to various theories for
prescribing and rational izing choices, they have maintained that
social goals could be achieved more effectively and at lower costs
if government decisions were routinely subjected to analysis. Now,
government policy makers are putting decision science to the test.
Recent government actions encourage and in some cases require
government decisions to be evaluated using formally defined
principles 01' rationality. Will decision science pass tbis test?
The answer depends on whether analysts can quickly and successfully
translate their theories into practical approaches and whether
these approaches promote the solution of the complex, highly
uncertain, and politically sensitive problems that are of greatest
concern to government decision makers. The future of decision
science, perhaps even the nation's well-being, depends on the
outcome. A major difficulty for the analysts who are being called
upon by government to apply decision-aiding approaches is that
decision science has not yet evolved a universally accepted
methodology for analyzing social decisions involving risk. Numerous
approaches have been proposed, including variations of cost-benefit
analysis, decision analysis, and applied social welfare theory.
Each of these, however, has its limitations and deficiencies and
none has a proven track record for application to govern ment
decisions involving risk. Cost-benefit approaches have been exten
sively applied by the government, but most applications have been
for decisions that were largely risk-free."
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